MIAMI, FL (352today.com) – Tropical Depression 19 has officially formed in the Caribbean Sea, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) announced early Thursday morning. Previously designated as Potential Tropical Cyclone 19, the system has strengthened and is now tracking westward at 16 mph.
Currently located about 250 miles east of Isla Guanaja, Honduras, Tropical Depression 19 has maximum sustained winds of 35 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1004 mb. Forecasters expect the system to intensify into Tropical Storm Sara by the end of the week.
Over the weekend, the depression is predicted to meander in the Caribbean, potentially bringing catastrophic rainfall to northern Honduras. The NHC warns of the threat of life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides, with isolated totals reaching up to 30 inches.
By next week, the NHC expects the system to gradually move northward into the Gulf of Mexico. While the exact path and intensity remain uncertain, models are beginning to suggest a more northern landfall, potentially impacting parts of Florida around next Wednesday.
However, a strong frontal system moving through Texas and surrounding states is forecast to create wind shear that could limit the system’s development as it moves through the Gulf. As a result, the NHC says that Florida is currently looking at increased rain chances next week, rather than a significant tropical threat.